I wanted to share with you a section from today’s subscriber-only email. Enjoy! — Judd

A new Trump campaign ad on Facebook targets seniors with a blatantly false promise. The ad, which launched on Tuesday, focuses on a quote from Trump: "If Mexico doesn't immediately stop ALL illegal immigration coming into the United States through our Southern Border, I will be CLOSING the border, or large sections of the border, next week."

The ad tries to convince people to donate using Trump's promise to close the border “next week.”

There is a major problem with the appeal, however. Trump delivered the promise in a series of tweets on March 29, more than two weeks ago.

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump

....through their country and our Southern Border. Mexico has for many years made a fortune off of the U.S., far greater than Border Costs. If Mexico doesn’t immediately stop ALL illegal immigration coming into the United States throug our Southern Border, I will be CLOSING.....

March 29th 2019

28,588 Retweets126,183 Likes

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump

....the Border, or large sections of the Border, next week. This would be so easy for Mexico to do, but they just take our money and “talk.” Besides, we lose so much money with them, especially when you add in drug trafficking etc.), that the Border closing would be a good thing!

March 29th 2019

22,668 Retweets96,023 Likes

Since that time, Mexico has not stopped "all illegal immigration" and Trump has not closed the border. In other words, Trump is fundraising off of a promise that he has already broken.

While telling potential donors that he might close the border "next week," Trump has publicly stated he will not close the border for the next year. "We're going to give them a one-year warning, and if the drugs don't stop or (are) largely stopped, we're going to put tariffs on Mexico and products, in particular, the cars ... and if that doesn't stop the drugs, we close the border," Trump said on April 4.

He added that, even after the year expires, he would likely impose a tariff on cars rather than close the border. "I don't think we'll ever have to close the border because the penalty of tariffs on cars coming into the United States from Mexico, at 25%, will be massive," Trump said.

A focus on seniors

Multiple versions of Trump's deceptive campaign advertisement on border policy are being targeted at seniors on Facebook.

This is part of a broader strategy to focus on older people online.

The "Trump campaign is spending nearly half (44%) of its Facebook ad budget to target users who are over 65 years old," according to a report on Axios based on data from Bully Pulpit Interactive.  

Older voters are a key target for Trump because they abandoned Republicans in droves in the 2018 midterms. Trump won older voters by about 10 points in the 2016 election. In 2018, voters over 65 supported Republicans by just a two-point margin.

Fool me once

The Trump campaign is using Facebook to systematically manipulate voters using false and misleading messages. Last week, Popular Information exposed how the Trump campaign is associating testimonials with multiple fake personas to exploit Facebook's microtargeting ability.

We know about this activity because Facebook has made political ads publicly available, but the company does not appear to be doing anything to prevent deceptive ads from appearing in the first place.  

Trump has made it very clear that Facebook will be at the center of his reelection strategy. Trump even hired the guy in charge of his 2016 Facebook strategy, Brad Parscale, to be his 2020 campaign manager.

Yet, outside of this newsletter, there seems to be very little scrutiny in how Trump is spending his money on Facebook.

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Feel free to contact me with any questions at judd@popular.info.